![]() ![]() Two players in this group who are very close to a 100 wRC+ are Ryan Howard (100 wRC+ and Pedro Alvarez (104 wRC+).It’s been an ugly start to the year for Kemp, just ask Bud Black. He is struggling big time on fastballs after crushing fastballs in 2014. He also pulled the ball more often last year (43.8%) and his ground ball rate is at a career high (48.7%, career rate is 41.9%). His 35.4% Hard% isn’t bad, but it’s not as high as last year’s 40.3%. He’s the Robinson Cano of the National League. Speaking of Kemp, what is up with this guy? After a bounce-back year in 2014, when he hit 25 home runs in 599 plate appearances, Kemp has just two homers so far in 274 plate appearances.These players are hitting the ball hard at a high rate but have still been below average hitters. The seven below-average performers with a 35% or higher Hard% are Jorge Soler (96 wRC+), Jay Bruce (96 wRC+), Mark Trumbo (93 wRC+), Will Middlebrooks (80 wRC+), Matt Adams (79 wRC+), Steve Pearce (79 wRC+), and the enigmatic Matt Kemp (78 wRC+) bringing up the rear.Nine of the top ten hitters in baseball by wRC+ are in this group (Nelson Cruz missed the cut with a Hard% of 32.9%.Stanton’s Hard% is 5% higher than the next-highest player in baseball, Brandon Belt. 341 ISO is second in baseball to Harper’s. Giancarlo Stanton has the highest Hard%, at 51%.He’s the Hope Diamond of Major League Baseball right now. Bryce Harper is the top performing player in this group, hitting.Bottom five hitters in this group, by wRC+: Mark Trumbo, Will Middlebrooks, Matt Adams, Steve Pearce, Matt Kemp.Middle five hitters in this group, by wRC+: Andrew McCutchen, Jose Abreu, George Springer, Adam Lind, Seth Smith.Top five hitters in this group, by wRC+: Bryce Harper, Paul Goldschmidt, Miguel Cabrera, Mike Trout, Anthony Rizzo.These are your typical light-hitting shortstops (Alcides Escobar, Elvis Andrus) and speedy outfielders (Billy Burns, Sam Fuld). This group strikes out less often than any other group, has the highest rate of soft-hit balls, and the lowest rate of fly balls. By the time you get to the bottom group, those with Hard% below 23%, the composite batting line is. 215 ISO, a solid 10.2% walk rate, and the best HR/FB rate, at 17.5%.Īs the hard-hit percentage goes down, the other numbers go down also. 276 batting average is 9 points higher than the next-highest group, their OBP is 22 points higher, and their slugging percentage is 49 points higher. The group of hitters who have a hard-hit percentage of 35% or higher have combined to hit. There’s a great deal of information here, but if you go down the column as Hard% goes down, you can see the effect on other statistics. With all of that in mind, I decided to separate hitters into groups based on hard-hit percentage and compare their composite batting lines. Hard% has a positive correlation (0.36) with fly-ball percentage, no correlation with line-drive percentage, and a negative correlation with groundball percentage. Perhaps pitchers a more careful to hitters who can beat them with one swing of the bat. Hitting the ball hard also correlates with walking more often. When you swing hard, you are more likely hit the ball hard and also more likely to miss, so hitters who have a higher Hard% also have higher strikeout rates, in general. The two measures of overall hitting production-wRC+ and wOBA-also score high on this chart.īoth strikeout rate and walk rate correlate positively with Hard%. The top three metrics in the table-ISO, HR/FB, and SLG-are all measures of power and correlate quite nicely with Hard%. Hitting the ball hard more often leads to getting extra-base hits more often. ![]() The statistic that correlates most with hard-hit percentage (Hard%) is Isolated Slugging (ISO), with a correlation of. Here is a table that shows the correlation for other metrics: The more often you hit the ball medium or soft, the lower your batting average. The more often you hit the ball hard, the higher your batting average. ![]() For both medium and soft hit percentage, the correlation was negative. The correlation between batting average and hard hit percentage for these 236 players was. You may think that players who hit the ball hard more often would have higher batting averages. To start off, I looked at the correlation between the old-school statistic of batting average with hard, medium, and soft hit percentage. ![]()
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